A

A Biological-Systems-Based Analyses Using Proteomic and Metabolic Network Inference Reveals Mechanistic Insights into Hepatic Lipid Accumulation: An IMI-DIRECT Study

medRxiv

Abstract

Objective: To delineate organ-specific and systemic drivers of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), we applied integrative causal inference across clinical, imaging, and proteomic domains in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes (T2D). Research Design and Methods: We used Bayesian network analyses to quantify causal pathways linking adipose distribution, glycemia, and insulin dynamics with fatty liver using data from the IMI-DIRECT prospective cohort study. Measurements were made of glucose and insulin dynamics (using frequently-sampled metabolic challenge tests), MRI-derived abdominal and liver fat content, serological biomarkers, and Olink plasma proteomics from 331 adults with new-onset T2D and 964 adults free from diabetes at enrolment. The common protocols used in these two cohorts provided the opportunity for replication analyses to be performed. When the direction of the effect could not be determined with high probability through Bayesian networks, complementary two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was employed. Results: High basal insulin secretion rate (BasalISR) was identified as the primary causal driver of liver fat accumulation in both diabetes and non-diabetes. Excess visceral adipose tissue (VAT) was bidirectionally associated with liver fat, indicating a self-reinforcing metabolic loop. Basal insulin clearance (Clinsb) worsened as a consequence of liver fat accumulation to a greater degree before the onset of T2D. Out of 446 analysed proteins, 34 mapped to these metabolic networks and 27 were identified in the non-diabetes network, 18 in the diabetes network, and 11 were common between the two networks. Key proteins directly associated with liver fat included GUSB, ALDH1A1, LPL, IGFBP1/2, CTSD, HMOX1, FGF21, AGRP, and ACE2. Sex-stratified analyses revealed distinct proteomic drivers: GUSB and LEP were most predictive of liver fat in females and males, respectively. Conclusions: Basal insulin hypersecretion is a modifiable, causal driver of MASLD, particularly prior to glycaemic decompensation. Our findings highlight a multifactorial, sex- and disease-stage-specific proteo-metabolic architecture of hepatic steatosis. Proteins such as GUSB, ALDH1A1, LPL, and IGFBPs warrant further investigation as potential biomarkers or therapeutic targets for MASLD prevention and treatment.

Authors 59

  1. University of Copenhagen · Lund University · University of Oxford · Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism · Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Clinical Science, Genetic and Molecular Epidemiology, Lund University Diabetes Centre, Helsingborg, Sweden

    Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

    Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

  2. Lund University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Clinical Science, Genetic and Molecular Epidemiology, Lund University Diabetes Centre, Helsingborg, Sweden

  3. Dartmouth–Hitchcock Medical Center · Lund University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Clinical Science, Genetic and Molecular Epidemiology, Lund University Diabetes Centre, Helsingborg, Sweden

    Department of Epidemiology, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, Lebanon, USA

  4. University of Oxford · Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism

    Affiliation as printed

    Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

  5. National Research Council

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute of Neuroscience, National Research Council, Padova, Italy

  6. University of Oxford · Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism

    Affiliation as printed

    Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

  7. Broad Institute · MIT Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory · Massachusetts Institute of Technology

    Affiliation as printed

    Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, USA

    Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, USA

  8. University of Copenhagen · Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research

    Affiliation as printed

    Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

  9. University of Dundee · Ninewells Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Population Health and Genomics, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland

  10. Herlev Hospital · Copenhagen University Hospital · Gentofte Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Copenhagen University Hospital Herlev Gentofte, Herlev, Denmark

  11. Technical University of Denmark

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Health Technology, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark

  12. Technical University of Denmark

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Health Technology, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark

  13. University of Dundee · Ninewells Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Population Health and Genomics, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland

  14. Amsterdam Public Health · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of General Practice, Amsterdam UMC-location Vumc, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  15. Lund University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Clinical Science, Genetic and Molecular Epidemiology, Lund University Diabetes Centre, Helsingborg, Sweden

  16. University of Dundee · Ninewells Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Population Health and Genomics, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland

  17. Helmholtz Munich

    Affiliation as printed

    Metabolomics and Proteomics Core, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Helmholtz Zentrum München, Neuherberg, Germany

  18. University of Copenhagen · Zealand University Hospital Køge · Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Medicine, Zealand University Hospital, Køge, Denmark

    Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

  19. Herlev Hospital · Copenhagen University Hospital · Gentofte Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Copenhagen University Hospital Herlev Gentofte, Herlev, Denmark

  20. University of Exeter

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Clinical and Biomedical Sciences, University of Exeter College of Medicine & Health, Exeter, UK

  21. University of Eastern Finland

    Affiliation as printed

    Internal Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland

  22. Lund University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Clinical Science, Genetic and Molecular Epidemiology, Lund University Diabetes Centre, Helsingborg, Sweden

  23. Centre for Human Genetics · University of Oxford

    Affiliation as printed

    Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

  24. Royal Devon & Exeter NHS Foundation Trust

    Affiliation as printed

    Blood Sciences, Royal Devon and Exeter NHS Foundation Trust, Exeter, UK

  25. Royal Victoria Infirmary

    Affiliation as printed

    Diabetes Research Network, Royal Victoria Infirmary, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK

  26. Amsterdam Public Health · Amsterdam University Medical Centers

    Affiliation as printed

    Amsterdam Public Health, Health Behaviors & Chronic Diseases, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

    Amsterdam UMC, Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  27. Novo Nordisk Foundation · Technical University of Denmark

    Affiliation as printed

    Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Biosustainability, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark

  28. University of Eastern Finland

    Affiliation as printed

    A.I. Virtanen Institute for Molecular Sciences, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland

    Internal Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland

  29. Amsterdam Public Health · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of General Practice, Amsterdam UMC-location Vumc, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  30. University of Copenhagen · Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research · Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen

    Affiliation as printed

    Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

    Steno Diabetes Center, Copenhagen, Denmark

  31. University of Ljubljana · National University of Singapore · Helmholtz Munich

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute of Biochemistry, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia

    Institute of Experimental Genetics, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Healt, Neuherberg, Germany

    Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore

  32. Amsterdam University Medical Centers

    Affiliation as printed

    Amsterdam UMC, Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  33. Technical University of Denmark

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Health Technology, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark

  34. University of Geneva

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Genetic Medicine and Development, University of Geneva Medical School, Geneva, Switzerland

  35. Lund University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Clinical Science, Genetic and Molecular Epidemiology, Lund University Diabetes Centre, Helsingborg, Sweden

  36. University of Copenhagen · Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research

    Affiliation as printed

    Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

  37. University of Copenhagen · Zealand University Hospital Køge · Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Medicine, Zealand University Hospital, Køge, Denmark

    Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

  38. Leiden University Medical Center · Amsterdam Public Health · Amsterdam University Medical Centers

    Affiliation as printed

    Amsterdam Public Health, Health Behaviors & Chronic Diseases, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

    Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Section Molecular Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands

    Department of Cell and Chemical Biology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands

    Department of Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  39. University of Exeter

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Clinical and Biomedical Sciences, University of Exeter College of Medicine & Health, Exeter, UK

  40. University of Oxford · Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism

    Affiliation as printed

    Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

  41. University of Eastern Finland

    Affiliation as printed

    Internal Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland

  42. Broad Institute · University of Copenhagen · Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research · Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai

    Affiliation as printed

    Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

    The Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA

    The Mindich Child Health and Development Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA

    The Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Genomic Mechanisms of Disease, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA

  43. University of Copenhagen · Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research

    Affiliation as printed

    Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

  44. Lund University

    Affiliation as printed

    Center for Environmental and Climate Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden

  45. Gentofte Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Center for Clinical Metabolic Research, Herlev and Gentofte University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark

  46. Lund University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Clinical Science, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden

  47. Boehringer Ingelheim (Germany)

    Affiliation as printed

    Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Ingelheim, Germany

  48. Amsterdam Public Health · Amsterdam University Medical Centers

    Affiliation as printed

    Amsterdam Public Health, Health Behaviors & Chronic Diseases, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

    Amsterdam UMC, Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  49. Science for Life Laboratory

    Affiliation as printed

    Science for Life Laboratory, School of Biotechnology, Solna, Sweden

  50. University of Oxford · Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism

    Affiliation as printed

    Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

  51. University of Lincoln

    Affiliation as printed

    School of Chemistry, College of Health and Science, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UK

  52. University of Oxford · Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism

    Affiliation as printed

    Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

  53. Centre for Human Genetics · University of Oxford

    Affiliation as printed

    Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, UK

  54. University of Westminster

    Affiliation as printed

    Research Centre for Optimal Health, School of Life Sciences, University of Westminster, London, UK

  55. University of Westminster

    Affiliation as printed

    Research Centre for Optimal Health, School of Life Sciences, University of Westminster, London, UK

  56. Affiliation as printed

    Eli Lilly Regional Operations Ges.m.b.H., Vienna, Austria

  57. University of Dundee · Ninewells Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Population Health and Genomics, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland

  58. University of Dundee · Ninewells Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Population Health and Genomics, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland

  59. Paul W. Franks corresponding

    Queen Mary University of London · Lund University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Clinical Science, Genetic and Molecular Epidemiology, Lund University Diabetes Centre, Helsingborg, Sweden

    Precision Healthcare University Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK

Cited by 2 stored of 2

2 results

No patents citing this paper on Lens.org (checked 2026-10-11).

References 56