Disentangling causality: assumptions in causal discovery and inference

Research Square

Abstract

Abstract Causality has been a burgeoning field of research leading to the point where the literature abounds with different components addressing distinct parts of causality. For researchers, it has been increasingly difficult to discern the assumptions they have to abide by in order to glean sound conclusions from causal concepts or methods. This paper aims to disambiguate the different causal concepts that have emerged in causal inference and causal discovery from observational data by attributing them to different levels of Pearl's Causal Hierarchy. We will provide the reader with a comprehensive arrangement of assumptions necessary to engage in causal reasoning at the desired level of the hierarchy. Therefore, the assumptions underlying each of these causal concepts will be emphasized and their concomitant graphical components will be examined. We show which assumptions are necessary to bridge the gaps between causal discovery, causal identification and causal inference from a parametric and a non-parametric perspective. Finally, this paper points to further research areas related to the strong assumptions that researchers have glibly adopted to take part in causal discovery, causal identification and causal inference.

Authors 4

1. Maarten Vonk corresponding Aachen

   Leiden University · The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies

   Affiliation as printed

   Leiden University

   LIACS, Leiden University, Niels Bohrweg 1, Leiden, 2333CA Netherlands

   The Hague Centre of Strategic Studies, Lange Voorhout 1, The Hague, 2514EA, Netherlands

2. Ninoslav Malekovic

   The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies

   Affiliation as printed

   The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies

   The Hague Centre of Strategic Studies, Lange Voorhout 1, The Hague, 2514EA, Netherlands

3. Thomas Bäck Aachen

   Leiden University

   Affiliation as printed

   Leiden University

   LIACS, Leiden University, Niels Bohrweg 1, Leiden, 2333CA Netherlands

4. Anna V. Kononova Aachen

   Leiden University

   Affiliation as printed

   Leiden University

   LIACS, Leiden University, Niels Bohrweg 1, Leiden, 2333CA Netherlands