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Counterfactual Diffusion Models Provide Interpretable Explanations of Artificial Intelligence Models in Pathology

Cancer Research, vol. 86, pp. 4414–4433

Abstract

Deep learning can extract predictive and prognostic biomarkers from histopathology whole-slide images. However, explainable artificial intelligence approaches widely used in digital pathology, such as attention heatmaps and class activation mapping, provide limited insight into the image features associated with classifier outputs. In this study, we developed Morphing histoPathology Diffusion (MoPaDi), a framework for generating counterfactual explanations for histopathology images that help identify morphologic or stain-related features linked to model predictions. MoPaDi combined diffusion autoencoders with task-specific multiple instance learning classifiers to manipulate images and induce prediction shifts by modifying classifier-associated features. The framework was evaluated on multiple datasets spanning colorectal, breast, liver, and lung cancers, including tasks for tissue type, cancer subtype, and biomarker [microsatellite instability (MSI)] classification. MoPaDi generated perceptually realistic counterfactual histopathology images, enabling pathologists to identify morphologic features associated with changes in model predictions, complementing the conventional inspection of highly attended regions in digital pathology. In the MSI status prediction task, MoPaDi highlighted morphologic features linked to classifier predictions, including mucinous differentiation, altered glandular architecture, and lymphocytic infiltration, consistent with prior literature. Analyses separating stain-related from morphology-related components suggested that in this setting, prediction changes were predominantly associated with morphology-related rather than stain-related alterations. Overall, MoPaDi is a practical framework for counterfactual explanations in computational pathology that supports the evaluation of model-specific decision cues and hypothesis generation. SIGNIFICANCE: MoPaDi is a diffusion-based tool for counterfactual image generation in cancer histopathology that reveals features associated with deep learning classifier predictions and supports transparent auditing of computational models in biomedical research.

Authors 19

  1. University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus · Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health · Technische Universität Dresden

    Affiliation as printed

    TUD Dresden University of Technology 1 Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health (EKFZ), Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, , Dresden, Germany

  2. University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus · Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health · Technische Universität Dresden

    Affiliation as printed

    TUD Dresden University of Technology 1 Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health (EKFZ), Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, , Dresden, Germany

  3. Universitätsklinikum Aachen · University of Pennsylvania · RWTH Aachen University

    Affiliation as printed

    2Department of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, University Hospital RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany

    3Department of Radiology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

  4. University of Augsburg · University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus · Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health · Technische Universität Dresden

    Affiliation as printed

    5Bavarian Cancer Research Center (BZKF), Augsburg, Germany

    TUD Dresden University of Technology 1 Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health (EKFZ), Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, , Dresden, Germany

    University of Augsburg 4 Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, , Augsburg, Germany

  5. University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz

    Affiliation as printed

    University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz 6 Institute of Pathology, , Mainz, Germany

  6. University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus · Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health · Technische Universität Dresden

    Affiliation as printed

    TUD Dresden University of Technology 1 Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health (EKFZ), Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, , Dresden, Germany

  7. Philipps University of Marburg

    Affiliation as printed

    Philipps University of Marburg 7 Institute of Pathology, , Marburg, Germany

  8. University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus · Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health · Technische Universität Dresden

    Affiliation as printed

    TUD Dresden University of Technology 1 Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health (EKFZ), Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, , Dresden, Germany

  9. University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus · Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health · Technische Universität Dresden

    Affiliation as printed

    TUD Dresden University of Technology 1 Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health (EKFZ), Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, , Dresden, Germany

  10. University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus · Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health · Technische Universität Dresden

    Affiliation as printed

    TUD Dresden University of Technology 1 Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health (EKFZ), Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, , Dresden, Germany

  11. Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin

    Affiliation as printed

    Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin 8 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Campus Charité Mitte, Campus Virchow Klinikum, , Berlin, Germany

  12. Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin

    Affiliation as printed

    Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin 8 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Campus Charité Mitte, Campus Virchow Klinikum, , Berlin, Germany

  13. Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin

    Affiliation as printed

    Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin 9 Department of Surgery, , Berlin, Germany

  14. Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin

    Affiliation as printed

    Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin 9 Department of Surgery, , Berlin, Germany

  15. Medical University of Vienna · Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin

    Affiliation as printed

    Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin 9 Department of Surgery, , Berlin, Germany

    Medical University of Vienna 10 Division of Transplantation, Department of General Surgery, , Vienna, Austria

  16. Universitätsklinikum Aachen · RWTH Aachen University

    Affiliation as printed

    11Department of Internal Medicine III, Gastroenterology, Metabolic Diseases and Intensive Care, University Hospital RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany

  17. University of Chicago · Chan Zuckerberg Biohub Chicago

    Affiliation as printed

    13Chan Zuckerberg Biohub Chicago LLC, Chicago, Illinois

    University of Chicago 12 Section of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, , Chicago, Illinois

  18. Universitätsklinikum Aachen · RWTH Aachen University

    Affiliation as printed

    2Department of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, University Hospital RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany

  19. University of Leeds · University Hospital Heidelberg · National Center for Tumor Diseases · University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus · Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health · Technische Universität Dresden

    Affiliation as printed

    15Medical Oncology, National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT), University Hospital Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany

    16Pathology and Data Analytics, Leeds Institute of Medical Research at St James’s, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom

    TUD Dresden University of Technology 1 Else Kröner Fresenius Center for Digital Health (EKFZ), Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, , Dresden, Germany

    TUD Dresden University of Technology 14 Department of Medicine I, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, , Dresden, Germany

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References 42