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Adjustments to climate perturbations -mechanisms, implications, observational constraints

Abstract

Since the 5th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (AR5) an extended concept of the energetic analysis of climate change including forcings, feedbacks and adjustment processes has become widely adopted. Adjustments are defined as processes that occur in response to the introduction of a climate forcing agent, but that are independent of global-mean surface temperature changes. Most considered are the adjustments that impact the Earth energy budget and strengthen or weaken the instantaneous radiative forcing due to the forcing agent. Some adjustment mechanisms also impact other aspects of climate not related to the Earth radiation budget. Since AR5 and a following description by Sherwood et al. (2015), much research on adjustments has been performed and is reviewed here. We classify the adjustment mechanisms into six main categories, and discuss methods of quantifying these adjustments in terms of their potentials, shortcomings and practicality. We furthermore describe aspects of adjustments that act beyond the energetic framework, and we propose new ideas to observe adjustments or to make use of observations to constrain their representation in models. Altogether, the problem of adjustments is now on a robust scientific footing, and better quantification and observational constraint is possible. This allows for improvements in understanding and quantifying climate change.

Authors 28

  1. Johannes Quaas corresponding

    Leipzig University

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute for Meteorology, Leipzig University

    Leipzig University, Leipzig Institute for Meteorology, Stephanstr. 3, 04103 Leipzig, Germany

  2. Met Office

    Affiliation as printed

    Met Office, Hadley Centre

    Met Office, Hadley Centre, Exeter, U.K

  3. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique · Sorbonne Université · Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace · University of Reading

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Meteorology, University of Reading

    Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Sorbonne Université / CNRS

    Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, U.K

  4. Leipzig University

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute for Meteorology, Leipzig University

    Leipzig University, Leipzig Institute for Meteorology, Stephanstr. 3, 04103 Leipzig, Germany

  5. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique · Sorbonne Université · Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace

    Affiliation as printed

    Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Sorbonne Université / CNRS

  6. Imperial College London

    Affiliation as printed

    Imperial College London

    Imperial College London, U.K

  7. Hebrew University of Jerusalem

    Affiliation as printed

    Hebrew University Jerusalem

    Hebrew University Jerusalem, Israel

  8. Leipzig University

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute for Meteorology, Leipzig University

    Leipzig University, Leipzig Institute for Meteorology, Stephanstr. 3, 04103 Leipzig, Germany

  9. Leipzig University

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute for Meteorology, Leipzig University

    Leipzig University, Leipzig Institute for Meteorology, Stephanstr. 3, 04103 Leipzig, Germany

  10. University of Leeds

    Affiliation as printed

    University of Leeds

    University of Leeds, U.K

  11. Bar-Ilan University · Leipzig University

    Affiliation as printed

    Bar Ilan University

    Institute for Meteorology, Leipzig University

    Bar Ilan University, Israel

    Leipzig University, Leipzig Institute for Meteorology, Stephanstr. 3, 04103 Leipzig, Germany

  12. Imperial College London

    Affiliation as printed

    Imperial College London

    Imperial College London, U.K

  13. CICERO Center for International Climate Research

    Affiliation as printed

    CICERO Oslo

    CICERO Oslo, Norway

  14. Hailing Jia Aachen

    Space Research Organisation Netherlands · Leipzig University

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute for Meteorology, Leipzig University

    SRON

    Leipzig University, Leipzig Institute for Meteorology, Stephanstr. 3, 04103 Leipzig, Germany

    SRON, Leiden, The Netherlands

  15. Goddard Space Flight Center · National Aeronautics and Space Administration · NASA Earth Science · University of Maryland, Baltimore County

    Affiliation as printed

    Earth Sciences Division, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

    GESTAR-II, University of Maryland Baltimore County

    Earth Sciences Division, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, USA

    GESTAR-II, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, USA

  16. University of Leeds

    Affiliation as printed

    University of Leeds

    University of Leeds, U.K

  17. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

    Affiliation as printed

    Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

  18. CICERO Center for International Climate Research

    Affiliation as printed

    CICERO Oslo

    CICERO Oslo, Norway

  19. Met Office · University of Exeter

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter

    Met Office, Hadley Centre

    Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, U.K

    Met Office, Hadley Centre, Exeter, U.K

  20. Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory · Columbia University

    Affiliation as printed

    Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University

    Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, New York, USA

  21. CICERO Center for International Climate Research

    Affiliation as printed

    CICERO Oslo

    CICERO Oslo, Norway

  22. Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research

    Affiliation as printed

    Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research

    Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research, Leipzig, Germany

  23. University of Reading

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Meteorology, University of Reading

    Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, U.K

  24. University of Leeds · International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

    Affiliation as printed

    International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

    University of Leeds

    International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria

    University of Leeds, U.K

  25. CICERO Center for International Climate Research

    Affiliation as printed

    CICERO Oslo

    CICERO Oslo, Norway

  26. Kyushu University

    Affiliation as printed

    Kyushu University

    Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan

  27. University of Tartu

    Affiliation as printed

    University of Tartu

    University of Tartu, Estonia

  28. University of Oslo

    Affiliation as printed

    University of Oslo

    University of Oslo, Norway

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References 155