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Development and Validation of a Quantitative Coronary CT Angiography Model for Diagnosis of Vessel-Specific Coronary Ischemia

JACC. Cardiovascular imaging, vol. 17, pp. 894–906

Abstract

Noninvasive stress testing is commonly used for detection of coronary ischemia but possesses variable accuracy and may result in excessive health care costs. This study aimed to derive and validate an artificial intelligence-guided quantitative coronary computed tomography angiography (AI-QCT) model for the diagnosis of coronary ischemia that integrates atherosclerosis and vascular morphology measures (AI-QCTISCHEMIA) and to evaluate its prognostic utility for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). A post hoc analysis of the CREDENCE (Computed Tomographic Evaluation of Atherosclerotic Determinants of Myocardial Ischemia) and PACIFIC-1 (Comparison of Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography, Single Photon Emission Computed Tomography [SPECT], Positron Emission Tomography [PET], and Hybrid Imaging for Diagnosis of Ischemic Heart Disease Determined by Fractional Flow Reserve) studies was performed. In both studies, symptomatic patients with suspected stable coronary artery disease had prospectively undergone coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA), myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI), SPECT, or PET, fractional flow reserve by CT (FFRCT), and invasive coronary angiography in conjunction with invasive FFR measurements. The AI-QCTISCHEMIA model was developed in the derivation cohort of the CREDENCE study, and its diagnostic performance for coronary ischemia (FFR ≤0.80) was evaluated in the CREDENCE validation cohort and PACIFIC-1. Its prognostic value was investigated in PACIFIC-1. In CREDENCE validation (n = 305, age 64.4 ± 9.8 years, 210 [69%] male), the diagnostic performance by area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) on per-patient level as 0.80 (95% CI: 0.75-0.85) for AI-QCTISCHEMIA, 0.69 (95% CI: 0.63-0.74; P < 0.001) for FFRCT, and 0.65 (95% CI: 0.59-0.71; P < 0.001) for MPI. In PACIFIC-1 (n = 208, age 58.1 ± 8.7 years, 132 [63%] male), the AUCs were 0.85 (95% CI: 0.79-0.91) for AI-QCTISCHEMIA, 0.78 (95% CI: 0.72-0.84; P = 0.037) for FFRCT, 0.89 (95% CI: 0.84-0.93; P = 0.262) for PET, and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.67-0.78; P < 0.001) for SPECT. Adjusted for clinical risk factors and coronary CTA-determined obstructive stenosis, a positive AI-QCTISCHEMIA test was associated with an HR of (aHR: 7.6 [95% CI: 1.2-47.0]; P = 0.030), for MACE. This newly developed coronary CTA-based ischemia model using coronary atherosclerosis and vascular morphology characteristics accurately diagnoses coronary ischemia by invasive FFR and provides robust prognostic utility for MACE beyond presence of stenosis.

Authors 50

  1. Nick S. Nurmohamed corresponding

    George Washington University · Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · University of Amsterdam · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Department of Vascular Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Division of Cardiology, The George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA. Electronic address: n.s.nurmohamed@amsterdamumc.nl

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

    Department of Vascular Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

    Division of Cardiology, The George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA

  2. University Medical Center Utrecht · Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Department of Cardiology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

    Department of Cardiology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands

  3. Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

  4. Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

  5. Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

  6. Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

  7. Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

  8. Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

  9. Centro Cardiologico Monzino

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiovascular Imaging, Centro Cardiologico Monzino, IRCCS, Milan, Italy

  10. University of Milan · IRCCS Ospedale Galeazzi - Sant'Ambrogio

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of University Cardiology, IRCCS Ospedale Galeazzi Sant'Ambrogio, Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, University of Milan, Milan, Italy

  11. Yonsei University · Severance Hospital · Yonsei University Health System

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of Cardiology, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital and Severance Biomedical Science Institute, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Yonsei University Health System, Seoul, South Korea

  12. George Washington University

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of Cardiology, The George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA

  13. Amsterdam University Medical Centers · University of Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Vascular Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

  14. Affiliation as printed

    Cleerly Inc, Denver, Colorado, USA

  15. Affiliation as printed

    Cleerly Inc, Denver, Colorado, USA

  16. Affiliation as printed

    Cleerly Inc, Denver, Colorado, USA

  17. Affiliation as printed

    Cleerly Inc, Denver, Colorado, USA

  18. George Washington University

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of Cardiology, The George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA; Cleerly Inc, Denver, Colorado, USA

    Cleerly Inc, Denver, Colorado, USA

    Division of Cardiology, The George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA

  19. Leiden University Medical Center

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands

  20. George Washington University

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of Cardiology, The George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA

    Division of Cardiology, The George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA;

  21. Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

    Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands;

  22. Leiden University Medical Center

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands

  23. George Washington University

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of Cardiology, The George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA;

  24. Centro Cardiologico Monzino

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cardiovascular Imaging, Centro Cardiologico Monzino, IRCCS, Milan, Italy

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References 39