[What does excess mortality tell us?]
PubMed, vol. 166
Abstract
Excess mortality due to covid-19 is estimatedas actual mortality minus expected mortality in the covid-19 period. Excess mortality in 2020-2021 in the Netherlands is estimated to be 30,000 persons. Excess mortality should be divided in mortality as consequences of covid-19 infections (direct effects) and mortality due indirect effects of the pandemic. As excess mortality assesses mortality under one single scenario (the actual scenario including its specific measures), it cannot directly be used to know what the number of deaths would have been under different scenarios. In line, it cannot be used to determine whether actual measures in the covid-19 pandemic were optimal (or not). And obviously, excess mortality only assesses the impact on mortality, not the impact on other relevant health-related, sociological or economical areas.
Authors 3
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Olaf M. Dekkers Aachen
Leiden University Medical Center
Affiliation as printed
LUMC, afd. Klinische Epidemiologie(tevens: LUMC, afd. Endocrinologie, Leiden)
Contact: Olaf M. Dekkers (o.m.dekkers@lumc.nl)
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Mark G. J. de Boer Aachen
Leiden University Medical Center
Affiliation as printed
LUMC, afd. Klinische Epidemiologie(tevens: LUMC, afd. Infectieziekten, Leiden)
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Frits Richard Rosendaal Aachen
Leiden University Medical Center · Luqman Unani Medical College Hospital and Research Center
Affiliation as printed
LUMC, afd. Klinische Epidemiologie