A

Normative Modeling of Brain Morphometry Across the Lifespan Using CentileBrain: Algorithm Benchmarking and Model Optimization

bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)

Abstract

We present an empirically benchmarked framework for sex-specific normative modeling of brain morphometry that can inform about the biological and behavioral significance of deviations from typical age-related neuroanatomical changes and support future study designs. This framework was developed using regional morphometric data from 37,407 healthy individuals (53% female; aged 3-90 years) following a comparative evaluation of eight algorithms and multiple covariate combinations pertaining to image acquisition and quality, parcellation software versions, global neuroimaging measures, and longitudinal stability. The Multivariate Factorial Polynomial Regression (MFPR) emerged as the preferred algorithm optimized using nonlinear polynomials for age and linear effects of global measures as covariates. The MFPR models showed excellent accuracy across the lifespan and within distinct age-bins, and longitudinal stability over a 2-year period. The performance of all MFPR models plateaued at sample sizes exceeding 3,000 study participants. The model and scripts described here are freely available through CentileBrain (https://centilebrain.org/).

Authors 98

  1. University of British Columbia · Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Djavad Mowafagian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  2. University of British Columbia · Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Djavad Mowafagian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  3. University of British Columbia · Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Djavad Mowafagian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  4. University of British Columbia · Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Djavad Mowafagian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  5. University of British Columbia · Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Djavad Mowafagian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  6. University of British Columbia · Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Djavad Mowafagian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  7. Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA

  8. Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA

  9. Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA

  10. University of Oslo · Region Stockholm · Karolinska Institutet · Diakonhjemmet Hospital · Stockholm Health Care Services

    Affiliation as printed

    Centre for Psychiatry Research, Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet & Stockholm Health Care Services, Region Stockholm, Stockholm, Sweden

    Department of Psychiatric Research, Diakonhjemmet Hospital, Oslo, Norway

    Norwegian Centre for Mental Disorders Research (NORMENT), Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway

  11. King's College London

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Center, King's College London, London, UK

  12. Marqués de Valdecilla University Hospital · Instituto de Investigación Marqués de Valdecilla

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Marqués de Valdecilla University Hospital, Valdecilla Biomedical Research Institute (IDIVAL), Santander, Spain

  13. Fondazione Santa Lucia

    Affiliation as printed

    Laboratory of Neuropsychiatry, IRCCS Santa Lucia Foundation, Rome, Italy

  14. Central Institute of Mental Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Central Institute of Mental Health, Mannheim, Germany

  15. Central Institute of Mental Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Central Institute of Mental Health, Mannheim, Germany

  16. University of Bari Aldo Moro

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Basic Medical Science, Neuroscience and Sense Organs, University of Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy

  17. Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Biological Psychology, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  18. University of Lübeck

    Affiliation as printed

    Translational Psychiatry Unit, Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Lübeck, Lübeck, Germany

  19. University of Pennsylvania

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA

  20. University of Zurich · Central Institute of Mental Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Central Institute of Mental Health, Mannheim, Germany

    Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, University of Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland

  21. Indiana University School of Medicine

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA

  22. UNSW Sydney · Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing

    Affiliation as printed

    Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing (CHeBA), School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

  23. Utrecht University · University Medical Center Utrecht · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Complex Trait Genetics, Center for Neurogenomics and Cognitive Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

    Department of Psychiatry, UMC Brain Center, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands

  24. Harvard University · Massachusetts General Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA

    Department of Psychology, Center for Brain Science, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA

  25. Radboud University Medical Center · Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behaviour

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Cognitive Neuroscience, Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behaviour, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands

  26. Ollscoil na Gaillimhe – University of Galway

    Affiliation as printed

    Clinical Neuroimaging Laboratory, National University of Ireland Galway, Galway, Ireland

  27. Cardiff University

    Affiliation as printed

    MRC Centre for Neuropsychiatric Genetics and Genomics, Division of Psychological Medicine and Clinical Neurosciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK

  28. Uppsala University · Region Stockholm · Karolinska Institutet · Stockholm Health Care Services

    Affiliation as printed

    Centre for Psychiatry Research, Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet & Stockholm Health Care Services, Region Stockholm, Stockholm, Sweden

    Department of Medical Sciences, Psychiatry, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden

  29. Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Sainte-Justine · Université de Montréal

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry and Addiction, Université de Montréal, CHU Ste Justine, Montréal, Canada

  30. Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental · Instituto de Biomedicina de Sevilla · Hospital Universitario Virgen del Rocío · Universidad de Sevilla

    Affiliation as printed

    Mental Health Research Networking Center (CIBERSAM), Madrid, Spain

    University Hospital Virgen del Rocio, Seville, Spain; Department of Psychiatry, University of Seville, Institute of Biomedicine of Seville (IBIS), Seville, Spain

    Department of Psychiatry, University of Seville, Institute of Biomedicine of Seville (IBIS), Seville, Spain

    University Hospital Virgen del Rocio, Seville, Spain

  31. Université de Bordeaux · Institut des Maladies Neurodégénératives

    Affiliation as printed

    Institut des Maladies Neurodégénératives, Université de Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France

  32. Leiden University · Erasmus University Rotterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychology, Education and Child Studies, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands

    Institute of Psychology, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands; Leiden Institute for Brain and Cognition, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands

    Institute of Psychology, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands

    Leiden Institute for Brain and Cognition, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands

  33. Queensland University of Technology

    Affiliation as printed

    School of Psychology & Counselling, Faculty of Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia

  34. Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza

    Affiliation as printed

    Laboratory of Biological Psychiatry, Fondazione IRCCS Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza, San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy

  35. Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of Mind and Brain Research, Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany

  36. Radboud University Nijmegen · Radboud University Medical Center · Max Planck Institute for Psycholinguistics · Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behaviour

    Affiliation as printed

    Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behaviour, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands

    Language and Genetics Department, Max Planck Institute for Psycholinguistics, Nijmegen, The Netherlands

  37. Radboud University Medical Center · Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behaviour

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Human Genetics, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands

    Department of Psychiatry, Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behaviour, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands

  38. Thomas Frodl Aachen

    RWTH Aachen University

    Affiliation as printed

    University Clinics and Clinics for Psychiatry, Psychotherapy and Psychosomatic Medicine, RWTH Aachen University, Aachen, Germany

  39. Boston Children's Hospital · Harvard University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Tommy Fuss Center for Neuropsychiatric Disease Research Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA

  40. University of Münster

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Muenster, Muenster, Germany

  41. Heidelberg University

    Affiliation as printed

    Section for Experimental Psychopathology and Neuroimaging, Department of General Psychiatry, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany

  42. Yale University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA

  43. University of Pennsylvania

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA

  44. University of Pennsylvania

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA

  45. The University of Melbourne · Melbourne Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Melbourne Neuropsychiatry Centre, Department of Psychiatry, The University of Melbourne & Melbourne Health, Melbourne, Australia

  46. University of California San Diego

    Affiliation as printed

    Center for Multimodal Imaging and Genetics, University of California San Diego, La jolla, California, USA

    Center for Multimodal Imaging and Genetics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA

  47. The University of Sydney

    Affiliation as printed

    Brain and Mind Centre, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia

  48. University of Cape Town

    Affiliation as printed

    Neuroscience Institute, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa

  49. Utrecht University · University Medical Center Utrecht

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, UMC Brain Center, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands

    Department of Psychology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands

  50. Amsterdam UMC Location University of Amsterdam · De Bascule

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Academic Medical Centre/De Bascule, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  51. University of California San Diego

    Affiliation as printed

    Center for Human Development, Departments of Cognitive Science, Psychiatry, and Radiology, University of California, San Diego, USA

  52. UNSW Sydney · Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing

    Affiliation as printed

    Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing (CHeBA), School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

  53. University of Cape Town

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Neuropsychiatry, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa

  54. Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA

  55. UNSW Sydney · Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing

    Affiliation as printed

    Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing (CHeBA), School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

  56. University Medical Center Utrecht

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry and Brain Center Rudolf Magnus, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands

  57. King's College London

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Center, King's College London, London, UK

  58. University of the Sunshine Coast

    Affiliation as printed

    Sunshine Coast Mind and Neuroscience - Thompson Institute, University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland, Australia

  59. Hospital Clínic de Barcelona

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychology, Hospital Clínic Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain

  60. Mental Health Research Center of Russian Academy of Medical Sciences

    Affiliation as printed

    Mental Health Research Center, Moscow, Russia

  61. Stellenbosch University

    Affiliation as printed

    SA MRC Unit on Risk and Resilience in Mental Disorders, Department of Psychiatry, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa

  62. QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute

    Affiliation as printed

    Queensland Institute of Medical Research, Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia

  63. Université de Bordeaux · Institut des Maladies Neurodégénératives

    Affiliation as printed

    Institut des Maladies Neurodégénératives, Université de Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France

  64. Indiana University School of Medicine

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA

  65. Ollscoil na Gaillimhe – University of Galway

    Affiliation as printed

    Centre for Neuroimaging & Cognitive Genomics (NICOG), NCBES Galway Neuroscience Centre, National University of Ireland Galway, Galway, Ireland

  66. Queensland University of Technology

    Affiliation as printed

    School of Clinical Sciences, Centre for Biomedical Technologies, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia

  67. Kyushu University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Neuropsychiatry, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan

  68. Umeå University

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Radiation Sciences, Umeå Center for Functional Brain Imaging, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden; Department of Integrative Medical Biology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden

    Department of Integrative Medical Biology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden

    Department of Radiation Sciences, Umeå Center for Functional Brain Imaging, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden

  69. Fondazione Santa Lucia

    Affiliation as printed

    Laboratory of Neuropsychiatry, IRCCS Santa Lucia Foundation, Rome, Italy

  70. Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona · Hospital de Sant Pau · Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Hospital de la Santa Creu iSant Pau, Institutd' Investigació Biomèdica SantPau, Universitat Autònomade Barcelona (UAB), Barcelona, Spain

    Mental Health Research Networking Center (CIBERSAM), Madrid, Spain

  71. Southwest University · Beijing Normal University

    Affiliation as printed

    Faculty of Psychology, Southwest University, Chongqing, PR China

    Key Laboratory of Cognition and Personality, Southwest University, Ministry of Education, Chongqing, PR China

    Southwest University Branch, Collaborative Innovation Center of Assessment Toward Basic Education Quality, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, PR China

  72. Harvard University · Massachusetts General Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA

  73. UNSW Sydney · Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing

    Affiliation as printed

    Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing (CHeBA), School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

  74. University of British Columbia · Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Djavad Mowafagian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  75. University of Pennsylvania

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA

  76. Indiana University School of Medicine

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA

  77. King's College London · Fudan University · Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin

    Affiliation as printed

    Centre for Population Neuroscience and Precision Medicine (PONS), Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology, and Neuroscience, Social, Genetic & Developmental Psychiatry Centre, King's College London, London, UK; Institute for Science and Technology of Brain-inspired Intelligence, Fudan University, Shanghai, PR China; Centre for Population Neuroscience and Stratified Medicine (PONS), Charite Mental Health, Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, CCM, Charite Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany

    Centre for Population Neuroscience and Precision Medicine (PONS), Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology, and Neuroscience, Social, Genetic & Developmental Psychiatry Centre, King's College London, London, UK

    Institute for Science and Technology of Brain-inspired Intelligence, Fudan University, Shanghai, PR China

  78. Region Stockholm · Karolinska Institutet · Stockholm Health Care Services

    Affiliation as printed

    Centre for Psychiatry Research, Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet & Stockholm Health Care Services, Region Stockholm, Stockholm, Sweden

    Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden

  79. Institute of Mental Health

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute of Mental Health, Singapore

  80. Massachusetts General Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Center for Genomic Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA

  81. Affiliation as printed

    University of Texas Health Harris County Psychiatric Center, Houston, Texas, USA

  82. University Medical Center Groningen · University of Groningen

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Biomedical Sciences of Cells and Systems, Rijksuniversiteit Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands

  83. Fondazione Santa Lucia

    Affiliation as printed

    Laboratory of Neuropsychiatry, IRCCS Santa Lucia Foundation, Rome, Italy

  84. University of Cape Town

    Affiliation as printed

    SA MRC Unit on Risk and Resilience in Mental Disorders, Department of Psychiatry and Neuroscience Institute, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa

  85. University of Oslo · Diakonhjemmet Hospital

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatric Research, Diakonhjemmet Hospital, Oslo, Norway

    Norwegian Centre for Mental Disorders Research (NORMENT), Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway

    PROMENTA Research Center, Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway

  86. University of Southern California

    Affiliation as printed

    Genetics Center, Stevens Institute for Neuroimaging and Informatics, Keck USC School of Medicine, Marina del Rey, California, USA

  87. Mental Health Research Center of Russian Academy of Medical Sciences

    Affiliation as printed

    Mental Health Research Center, Moscow, Russia

  88. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas · Marqués de Valdecilla University Hospital · Instituto de Investigación Marqués de Valdecilla · Instituto de Física de Cantabria

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Radiology, Marqués de Valdecilla University Hospital, Valdecilla Biomedical Research Institute (IDIVAL), Santander, Spain; Advanced Computing and e-Science, Instituto de Física de Cantabria (UC-CSIC), Santander, Spain

    Advanced Computing and e-Science, Instituto de Física de Cantabria (UC-CSIC), Santander, Spain

    Department of Radiology, Marqués de Valdecilla University Hospital, Valdecilla Biomedical Research Institute (IDIVAL), Santander, Spain

  89. UNSW Sydney · Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing

    Affiliation as printed

    Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing (CHeBA), School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

    Department of Developmental Disability Neuropsychiatry, School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

  90. Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Biological Psychology, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  91. Amsterdam Neuroscience · Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Anatomy & Neurosciences, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

    Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  92. University of California, Irvine

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry and Human Behavior, University of California, Irvine, California, USA

  93. Erasmus MC · Erasmus University Rotterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry/Psychology, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands

  94. Fondazione Santa Lucia

    Affiliation as printed

    Laboratory of Neuropsychiatry, IRCCS Santa Lucia Foundation, Rome, Italy

  95. Amsterdam Neuroscience · Amsterdam University Medical Centers · Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

  96. Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of Mind and Brain Research, Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany

  97. Medical College of Wisconsin

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Radiology, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA

  98. University of Bonn · University Hospital Bonn

    Affiliation as printed

    Institute for Experimental Epileptology and Cognition Research, University of Bonn Germany, Bonn, Germany; University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany

    Institute for Experimental Epileptology and Cognition Research, University of Bonn Germany, Bonn, Germany

    University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany

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References 37