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A nomogram to predict pathologic T2 stage in candidates to robot-assisted radical prostatectomy with iT3 prostate cancer on preoperative multiparametric MRI: results from a multi-institutional collaboration

Minerva Urology and Nephrology, vol. 75, pp. 231–234

Abstract

In candidates to robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) for locally advanced (iT3) prostate cancer on preoperative MRI, the performance of MRI for local staging is demonstrably suboptimal, and currently no prediction tools that might help surgeons in preoperative planning are available. We analyzed data of 685 patients with iT3 prostate cancer (PCa) who received RARP at five participating institutions between 2012 and 2020. Multivariable logistic regression model investigated predictors of pT2 disease among variables available before surgery (i.e.: preoperative PSA, biopsy ISUP group, clinical T stage on digital rectal examination-DRE, prostate volume on MRI, PIRADS score of index lesion, seminal vesicles invasion on MRI, location suspicious for T3 disease on MRI). Coefficients from such model were used to build a nomogram to predict organ-confined (i.e. pT2) disease on final pathology. Internal validation was performed using the leave-one-out cross-validation. Median (interquartile range) preoperative PSA was 7.5 (5.2, 11.9) ng/mL, and 280 (41%) and 216 (32%) had biopsy ISUP group 4-5 disease and palpable disease on DRE, respectively. Preoperative MRI was suspicious for iT3 disease on the mid-posterior part of the gland in 485 (71%) men, and 527 (77%) men had a PIRADS 5 lesion. After surgery, a total of 192 (28%) patients had organ-confined disease (i.e. pT2). All variables fitted into the model and were considered to build the nomogram. After internal validation, the AUC was 73% (95% confidence interval: 69%, 77%). Awaiting external validation, we provided data that is relevant to optimize surgical strategy in men diagnosed with iT3 PCa who are scheduled for RARP.

Authors 20

  1. Carlo Andrea Bravi corresponding

    Onze Lieve Vrouwziekenhuis Hospital · IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele · ORSI Academy · Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico San Raffaele

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Urology, Onze-Lieve-Vrouwziekenhuis Hospital, Aalst, Belgium - carloandrea.bravi@gmail.com

    ORSI Academy, Ghent, Belgium - carloandrea.bravi@gmail.com

    Unit of Urology, Division of Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy - carloandrea.bravi@gmail.com

    Department of Urology, Onze-Lieve-Vrouwziekenhuis Hospital, Aalst, Belgium

    ORSI Academy, Ghent, Belgium

    Unit of Urology, Division of Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy

  2. IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele · Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico San Raffaele

    Affiliation as printed

    Unit of Urology, Division of Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy

  3. Leiden University · Leiden University Medical Center · The Netherlands Cancer Institute · Azienda Socio Sanitaria Territoriale Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Urology, ASST Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda, Milan, Italy;

    Department of Urology, the Netherlands Cancer Institute, Antoni van Leeuwenhoek Hospital, Amsterdam, The Netherlands;

    Interventional Molecular Imaging Laboratory, Department of Radiology, University Medical Center of Leiden, Leiden, the Netherlands;

    Department of Urology, ASST Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda, Milan, Italy

    Department of Urology, the Netherlands Cancer Institute, Antoni van Leeuwenhoek Hospital, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

    Interventional Molecular Imaging Laboratory, Department of Radiology, University Medical Center of Leiden, Leiden, the Netherlands

  4. AdventHealth Celebration · AdventHealth

    Affiliation as printed

    AdventHealth Global Robotics Institute, Celebration, FL, USA

  5. IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele · Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico San Raffaele

    Affiliation as printed

    Unit of Urology, Division of Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy

  6. IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele · Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico San Raffaele

    Affiliation as printed

    Unit of Urology, Division of Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy

  7. ORSI Academy · University of Bologna

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of Urology, IRCCS University Hospital of Bologna, Bologna, Italy

    ORSI Academy, Ghent, Belgium

  8. ORSI Academy · University of Bologna

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of Urology, IRCCS University Hospital of Bologna, Bologna, Italy

    ORSI Academy, Ghent, Belgium

  9. IRCCS Humanitas Research Hospital · ORSI Academy

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Urology, Humanitas IRCCS Research Hospital, Rozzano, Milan, Italy

    ORSI Academy, Ghent, Belgium

  10. University of Modena and Reggio Emilia · ORSI Academy

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Urology, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy

    ORSI Academy, Ghent, Belgium

  11. University of Modena and Reggio Emilia · ORSI Academy

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Urology, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy

    ORSI Academy, Ghent, Belgium

  12. University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf · Martini-Klinik · ORSI Academy

    Affiliation as printed

    Martini-Klinik Prostate Cancer Center, University Hospital of Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany

    ORSI Academy, Ghent, Belgium

  13. Onze Lieve Vrouwziekenhuis Hospital · ORSI Academy

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Urology, Onze-Lieve-Vrouwziekenhuis Hospital, Aalst, Belgium

    ORSI Academy, Ghent, Belgium

  14. University of Bologna

    Affiliation as printed

    Division of Urology, IRCCS University Hospital of Bologna, Bologna, Italy

  15. University of Milan · IRCCS Humanitas Research Hospital · Azienda Socio Sanitaria Territoriale Santi Paolo e Carlo

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Urology, Humanitas IRCCS Research Hospital, Rozzano, Milan, Italy

    Unit of Urological, Department of Health Sciences, ASST Santi Paolo e Carlo, University of Milan, Milan, Italy

  16. Azienda Socio Sanitaria Territoriale Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Urology, ASST Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda, Milan, Italy

  17. IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele · Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico San Raffaele

    Affiliation as printed

    Unit of Urology, Division of Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy

  18. IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele · Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico San Raffaele

    Affiliation as printed

    Unit of Urology, Division of Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy

  19. AdventHealth Celebration · AdventHealth

    Affiliation as printed

    AdventHealth Global Robotics Institute, Celebration, FL, USA

  20. Onze Lieve Vrouwziekenhuis Hospital · ORSI Academy

    Affiliation as printed

    Department of Urology, Onze-Lieve-Vrouwziekenhuis Hospital, Aalst, Belgium

    ORSI Academy, Ghent, Belgium

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