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A roadmap to using randomization in clinical trials

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Abstract

Abstract Background: Randomization is the foundation of any clinical trial involving treatment comparison. It helps mitigate selection bias, promotes similarity of treatment groups with respect to important known and unknown confounders, and contributes to the validity of statistical tests. Various restricted randomization procedures with different probabilistic structures and different statistical properties are available.Methods: We survey available restricted randomization procedures for sequential allocation of subjects in a randomized, comparative, parallel group clinical trial with equal (1:1) allocation. We explore statistical properties of these procedures, including balance/randomness tradeoff, type I error rate and power. We perform head-to-head comparisons of different procedures through simulation under various experimental scenarios, including cases when common model assumptions are violated. We also provide some real-life clinical trial examples to illustrate the thinking process for selecting a randomization procedure for implementation in practice. Results: Restricted randomization procedures targeting 1:1 allocation vary in the degree of balance/randomness they induce, and more importantly, they vary in terms of validity and efficiency of statistical inference when common model assumptions are violated (e.g. when outcomes are affected by a linear time trend; measurement error distribution is misspecified; or selection bias is introduced in the experiment). Some procedures are more robust than others. Covariate-adjusted analysis may be essential to ensure validity of the results. Special considerations are required when selecting a randomization procedure for a clinical trial with very small sample size.Conclusions: The choice of randomization design, data analytic technique (parametric or nonparametric), and analysis strategy (randomization-based or population model-based) are all very important considerations. Randomization-based tests are robust and valid alternatives to likelihood-based tests and should be considered more frequently by clinical investigators.

Authors 13

  1. National Institutes of Health

    Affiliation as printed

    National Institutes of Health

  2. Boehringer Ingelheim (Germany)

    Affiliation as printed

    Boehringer Ingelheim (Germany)

  3. Boehringer Ingelheim (United States)

    Affiliation as printed

    Boehringer Ingelheim (United States)

  4. University of Utah

    Affiliation as printed

    University of Utah

  5. University of Leeds

    Affiliation as printed

    University of Leeds

  6. Sigmund Freud Privatuniversität Wien

    Affiliation as printed

    Sigmund Freud University Vienna

  7. University of York

    Affiliation as printed

    University of York

  8. R.-D Hilgers Aachen

    RWTH Aachen University

    Affiliation as printed

    RWTH Aachen University

  9. United States Food and Drug Administration

    Affiliation as printed

    United States Food and Drug Administration

  10. Universitat de Barcelona

    Affiliation as printed

    University of Barcelona

  11. AstraZeneca (Sweden)

    Affiliation as printed

    AstraZeneca (Sweden)

  12. Oleksandr Sverdlov corresponding

    Novartis (United States)

    Affiliation as printed

    Novartis (United States)

  13. George Washington University

    Affiliation as printed

    George Washington University

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References 105